web3: Foreign media: ICP still constrained by the $2.85 resistance
CoinPedia
08-26 02:21
Ai Focus
Foreign media reports that the ICP short-term price is still suppressed at $2.85, with small-scale addresses increasing their holdings while some large traders are reducing theirs, and the price has not yet broken away from the low range.
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外媒称,ICP 近期仍徘徊在 2026 年低位附近,价格约为 2.39 美元,过去数月主要运行在 2.01 美元至 2.85 美元之间。尽管加密市场整体有所修复,但 ICP 反弹力度相对有限,周线层面仍未摆脱偏弱走势。

2.85美元仍是关键位置

文章认为,当前最直接的问题在于买盘尚未推动价格有效突破 2.85 美元。在这一位置被站稳前,市场很难把眼下的反弹视为趋势反转。

如果后续突破 2.85 美元并延续,下一道关注位置在周线 50 周均线附近,即 3.15 美元。按文中测算,若涨势继续扩大,价格还可能进一步看向 6.29 美元和 9.84 美元。这两个位置分别对应更高一级的上行空间,其中 9.84 美元也接近周线 200 周均线。

小额地址增持,大户分化

从链上地址分布看,较小规模持仓地址近期在增加。持有 0.001 至 10 枚 ICP 的地址数量上升,持有 10 至 10,000 枚 ICP 的群体也在扩大,显示部分中小持有者仍在持续吸纳。

不过,大额地址的动作并不一致。持有 10,000 至 100,000 枚 ICP 的群体,自 8 月初高点后持续下降,反映这一区间存在卖压。

部分大额地址重新增持

与此同时,持有 100,000 至 100 万枚 ICP 的地址在经历此前明显回落后,8 月重新出现增长,说明部分较大资金重新回到增持一侧。但持有 100 万至 1,000 万枚 ICP 的群体,则自 6 月中旬高点后继续减少。

文章认为,这种分化解释了 ICP 为何在整体市场情绪改善后,价格仍未出现更强反应。中小持仓在买入,但部分更大规模地址在减仓,削弱了新增买盘带来的推动力。

在这种情况下,2.85 美元仍是短线最重要的分界线。若迟迟无法突破,ICP 可能继续停留在当前区间;若再度回落,2.01 美元一线将重新面临考验。

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